The first real box office tracking for The Mandalorian and Grogu is here, and it is not exactly the kind of number Lucasfilm probably wanted people talking about a month before release. According to early forecasting, the film is currently looking at roughly $71 million to $85 million domestic for its three-day opening weekend. That is not a disaster on its own. But it is the comparison point that makes this more interesting: Solo: A Star Wars Story opened to $84.4 million domestically in 2018, which means The Mandalorian and Grogu is currently tracking in a range that could land below it, roughly match it, or just barely edge past it depending on where it comes in. Why this number matters more than usual This is not just another Star Wars movie opening. The Mandalorian and Grogu is the first Star Wars theatrical release since 2019, and Lucasfilm has clearly…